Duke at SMU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 7.83
TOTAL POINTS
151
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
SMU
Duke 
|
93
A-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
SMU
Duke
| 58 | Overall | 2 |
| 39 | Power | 3 |
| 19 | Offensive | 29 |
| 99 | Defensive | 2 |
| 78 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 78 | SoS (Full Season) | 22 |
Duke#272%
SMU#5828%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Duke 72%, SMU 28% at SMU.
Duke's win probability against SMU is trending down — from 81% to 72% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against SMU is trending down — from 86% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against SMU is trending down — from 90% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Duke favored
SMU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At SMU | Neutral | At Duke |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 83% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 78% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 81% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 77% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 88% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 72% | 78% | 83% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
SMU
Duke
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
20-14 (58.8%) |
Overall |
35-3 (92.1%) |
|
15-3 (83.3%) |
Home |
15-0 (100%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus Top 25 |
9-3 (75%) |
|
11-12 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
26-3 (89.7%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-0 (100%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
SMU
Duke
| #23 North Carolina | Best Win | #1 Michigan |
| #97 Syracuse | Worst Loss | #23 North Carolina |
| 47 pts vs #161 CS Fullerton | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #340 Niagara |
| 20 pts vs #63 Stanford | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #23 North Carolina |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
SMU
Duke
| 84.1 | Points per Game | 81.6 |
| 77.9 | Points Against | 63.6 |
| 89.6 | Home PPG | 85.3 |
| 75.8 | Home PA | 60.5 |
| 77.5 | Away PPG | 82.6 |
| 81.5 | Away PA | 62.5 |
| 656-458 | Opponent Record | 792-488 |
| 93.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85.7 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
SMU
Duke
| Mar 18 | Miami OH (29-2) | L79-89 | Mar 29 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L72-73 |
| Mar 11 | Louisville (24-11) | L58-62 | Mar 27 | #7 St John's (30-7) | W80-75 |
| Mar 10 | Syracuse (15-17) | W86-69 | Mar 21 | TCU (23-12) | W81-58 |
| Mar 7 | at Florida St (18-15) | L78-91 | Mar 19 | Siena (23-12) | W71-65 |
| Mar 4 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L69-77 | Mar 14 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | W74-70 |
| Feb 28 | at Stanford (20-13) | L75-95 | Mar 13 | Clemson (24-11) | W73-61 |
| Feb 25 | at California (21-12) | L69-73 | Mar 12 | Florida St (18-15) | W80-79 |
| Feb 21 | vs Boston College (11-20) | W94-70 | Mar 7 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W76-61 |
| Feb 17 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W95-85 | Mar 2 | at NC State (20-14) | W93-64 |
| Feb 14 | at Syracuse (15-17) | L78-79 | Feb 28 | vs #13 Virginia (30-6) | W77-51 |