Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Robert Morris 57%, New Mexico St 43% at Robert Morris.
Robert Morris' win probability against New Mexico St has held at 42% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Robert Morris' win probability against New Mexico St is trending down — from 52% to 49% over the last 6 updates.
Robert Morris' win probability against New Mexico St has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.