Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 96%, Rider 4% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Rider is trending down — from 96% to 92% over the last 6 updates.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Rider is trending down — from 97% to 94% over the last 6 updates.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Rider has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.