Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's CBB predictions →
Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 61%, Penn St 39% at a neutral site.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 57% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Penn St has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Penn St has held at 67% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.