Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Penn
Illinois
|
85
B
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Penn
6099
Illinois
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
97
A+
6099
|
|
Penn
6099
Illinois
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
98
A+
|
Penn
Illinois
| 129 | Overall | 10 |
| 159 | Power | 6 |
| 152 | Offensive | 11 |
| 192 | Defensive | 19 |
| 177 | SoS (Current) | 9 |
| 177 | SoS (Future) | 9 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Illinois 97%, Penn 3% at Penn.
Illinois' win probability against Penn has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois' win probability against Penn has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois' win probability against Penn has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Penn | Neutral | At Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 8 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 10 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 11 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 12 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 16 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 21 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 22 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
Penn
Illinois
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
17-12 (58.6%) |
Overall |
28-9 (75.7%) |
|
11-2 (84.6%) |
Home |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Away |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
9-8 (52.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
16-9 (64%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Penn
Illinois
| #77 St Joseph's PA | Best Win | #5 Purdue |
| #291 Princeton | Worst Loss | #24 UCLA |
| 21 pts vs #328 Brown | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #284 Jackson St |
| 35 pts vs #10 Illinois | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #1 Michigan |
Penn
Illinois
| 74.4 | Points per Game | 83.2 |
| 74.4 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 73.2 | Home PPG | 86.1 |
| 69.6 | Home PA | 65.8 |
| 77 | Away PPG | 84.8 |
| 76.3 | Away PA | 76.1 |
| 449-408 | Opponent Record | 786-493 |
| 188.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 77.2 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Penn
Illinois
| Mar 19 | #10 Illinois (28-9) | L70-105 | Apr 4 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L62-71 |
| Mar 15 | Yale (22-7) | W88-84 | Mar 28 | Iowa (25-13) | W71-59 |
| Mar 14 | Harvard (16-12) | W62-60 | Mar 26 | #6 Houston (30-7) | W65-55 |
| Mar 6 | at Brown (7-18) | W82-61 | Mar 21 | VCU (28-8) | W76-55 |
| Feb 28 | vs Harvard (16-12) | W64-61 | Mar 19 | Penn (17-12) | W105-70 |
| Feb 27 | vs Dartmouth (9-16) | W80-71 | Mar 13 | #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | L88-91 |
| Feb 21 | at Yale (22-7) | L70-74 | Mar 8 | at Maryland (13-22) | W78-72 |
| Feb 14 | vs Cornell (13-13) | W82-76 | Mar 3 | vs Oregon (12-20) | W80-54 |
| Feb 13 | vs Columbia (14-12) | W76-67 | Feb 27 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L70-84 |
| Feb 7 | vs Princeton (8-20) | W61-60 | Feb 21 | at #24 UCLA (24-12) | L94-95 |
vs
College Basketball