Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Notre Dame 53%, California 47% at Notre Dame.
Notre Dame's win probability against California has held at 38% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Notre Dame's win probability against California is trending up — from 43% to 46% over the last 6 updates.
Notre Dame's win probability against California has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.