Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: North Carolina 71%, Stanford 29% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against Stanford is trending down — from 62% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against Stanford is trending down — from 69% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against Stanford is trending down — from 75% to 71% over the last 6 updates.