SMU at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 4.45
TOTAL POINTS
158
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
SMU
North Carolina 
|
93
A-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
SMU
North Carolina
| 58 | Overall | 19 |
| 39 | Power | 25 |
| 19 | Offensive | 36 |
| 99 | Defensive | 33 |
| 78 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 78 | SoS (Full Season) | 12 |
North Carolina#1963%
SMU#5837%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: North Carolina 63%, SMU 37% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against SMU is trending down — from 51% to 48% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against SMU has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against SMU has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina favored
SMU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At SMU | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 42% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 49% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 48% | 56% | 63% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
SMU
North Carolina
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
20-14 (58.8%) |
Overall |
24-9 (72.7%) |
|
15-3 (83.3%) |
Home |
18-0 (100%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
4-6 (40%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus Top 25 |
3-2 (60%) |
|
11-12 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-0 (100%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
SMU
North Carolina
| #23 North Carolina | Best Win | #3 Duke |
| #97 Syracuse | Worst Loss | #66 California |
| 47 pts vs #161 CS Fullerton | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #240 East Carolina |
| 20 pts vs #63 Stanford | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #49 NC State |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
SMU
North Carolina
| 84.1 | Points per Game | 79.7 |
| 77.9 | Points Against | 71.6 |
| 89.6 | Home PPG | 83.6 |
| 75.8 | Home PA | 66.4 |
| 77.5 | Away PPG | 75.6 |
| 81.5 | Away PA | 79.2 |
| 656-458 | Opponent Record | 663-437 |
| 93.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 95.5 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
SMU
North Carolina
| Mar 18 | Miami OH (29-2) | L79-89 | Mar 19 | VCU (28-8) | L78-82 |
| Mar 11 | Louisville (24-11) | L58-62 | Mar 12 | Clemson (24-11) | L79-80 |
| Mar 10 | Syracuse (15-17) | W86-69 | Mar 7 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L61-76 |
| Mar 7 | at Florida St (18-15) | L78-91 | Mar 3 | vs Clemson (24-11) | W67-63 |
| Mar 4 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L69-77 | Feb 28 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W89-82 |
| Feb 28 | at Stanford (20-13) | L75-95 | Feb 23 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W77-74 |
| Feb 25 | at California (21-12) | L69-73 | Feb 21 | at Syracuse (15-17) | W77-64 |
| Feb 21 | vs Boston College (11-20) | W94-70 | Feb 17 | at NC State (20-14) | L58-82 |
| Feb 17 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W95-85 | Feb 14 | vs Pittsburgh (13-20) | W79-65 |
| Feb 14 | at Syracuse (15-17) | L78-79 | Feb 10 | at Miami FL (26-9) | L66-75 |