Louisville at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 0.58
TOTAL POINTS
157
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Louisville
North Carolina 
|
97
A+
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
98
A+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
95
A
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Louisville
North Carolina
| 24 | Overall | 19 |
| 14 | Power | 25 |
| 11 | Offensive | 36 |
| 36 | Defensive | 33 |
| 41 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 25 | SoS (Full Season) | 13 |
Louisville#2452%
North Carolina#1948%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Louisville 52%, North Carolina 48% at North Carolina.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina is trending down — from 55% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina is trending down — from 68% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville favored
North Carolina favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At North Carolina | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 55% | 61% | 68% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 55% | 61% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 54% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 52% | 58% | 65% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Louisville
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
24-11 (68.6%) |
Overall |
24-9 (72.7%) |
|
15-2 (88.2%) |
Home |
18-0 (100%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Away |
4-6 (40%) |
|
0-7 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
3-2 (60%) |
|
12-11 (52.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
12-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Louisville
North Carolina
| #31 Miami FL | Best Win | #3 Duke |
| #63 Stanford | Worst Loss | #66 California |
| 59 pts vs #346 S Carolina St | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #240 East Carolina |
| 31 pts vs #3 Duke | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #49 NC State |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Louisville
North Carolina
| 84.3 | Points per Game | 79.7 |
| 72.5 | Points Against | 71.6 |
| 90.9 | Home PPG | 83.6 |
| 67.5 | Home PA | 66.4 |
| 79.5 | Away PPG | 75.6 |
| 80.5 | Away PA | 79.2 |
| 684-486 | Opponent Record | 663-437 |
| 96.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 95.5 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Louisville
North Carolina
| Mar 21 | #9 Michigan St (27-8) | L69-77 | Mar 19 | VCU (28-8) | L78-82 |
| Mar 19 | South Florida (24-9) | W83-79 | Mar 12 | Clemson (24-11) | L79-80 |
| Mar 12 | Miami FL (26-9) | L73-78 | Mar 7 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L61-76 |
| Mar 11 | SMU (20-14) | W62-58 | Mar 3 | vs Clemson (24-11) | W67-63 |
| Mar 7 | at Miami FL (26-9) | W92-89 | Feb 28 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W89-82 |
| Mar 3 | vs Syracuse (15-17) | W77-62 | Feb 23 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W77-74 |
| Feb 28 | at Clemson (24-11) | L75-80 | Feb 21 | at Syracuse (15-17) | W77-64 |
| Feb 23 | at #23 North Carolina (24-9) | L74-77 | Feb 17 | at NC State (20-14) | L58-82 |
| Feb 21 | vs Georgia Tech (11-20) | W87-70 | Feb 14 | vs Pittsburgh (13-20) | W79-65 |
| Feb 17 | at SMU (20-14) | L85-95 | Feb 10 | at Miami FL (26-9) | L66-75 |