Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: North Carolina 74%, California 26% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against California is trending down — from 65% to 60% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against California is trending down — from 72% to 67% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against California is trending down — from 78% to 74% over the last 6 updates.