Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
IL Chicago
Murray St
|
84
B
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
82
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
IL Chicago
6099
Murray St
6099
|
||
|
88
B+
6099
|
Defensive |
66
D
6099
|
|
IL Chicago
6099
Murray St
6099
|
||
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Future) |
84
B
|
IL Chicago
Murray St
| 141 | Overall | 126 |
| 117 | Power | 128 |
| 158 | Offensive | 47 |
| 102 | Defensive | 305 |
| 133 | SoS (Current) | 142 |
| 133 | SoS (Future) | 142 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Murray St 58%, IL Chicago 42% at Murray St.
Murray St's win probability against IL Chicago is trending down — from 41% to 38% over the last 6 weeks.
Murray St's win probability against IL Chicago is trending down — from 51% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
Murray St's win probability against IL Chicago is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At IL Chicago | Neutral | At Murray St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 48% | 58% | 68% |
| Wk 1 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 2 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 3 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 82% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 8 | 83% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 9 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 10 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 11 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 12 | 71% | 79% | 86% |
| Wk 13 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 14 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 15 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 17 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 18 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 19 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 20 | 39% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 21 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 24 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
IL Chicago
Murray St
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
17-16 (51.5%) |
Overall |
20-13 (60.6%) |
|
7-5 (58.3%) |
Home |
12-3 (80%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Away |
5-7 (41.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
7-13 (35%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-11 (42.1%) |
|
10-3 (76.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
IL Chicago
Murray St
| #94 Illinois St | Best Win | #59 Akron |
| #286 Ark Pine Bluff | Worst Loss | #226 Drake |
| 38 pts vs #296 Evansville | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #364 MS Valley St |
| 18 pts vs #66 California | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #98 Northern Iowa |
IL Chicago
Murray St
| 74 | Points per Game | 83.1 |
| 71.3 | Points Against | 80.3 |
| 73.8 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 66.9 | Home PA | 73.4 |
| 72.4 | Away PPG | 80.6 |
| 73.2 | Away PA | 84.9 |
| 549-506 | Opponent Record | 539-520 |
| 167.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 170.6 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 3 |
IL Chicago
Murray St
| Mar 18 | at California (21-12) | L73-91 | Mar 18 | at Nevada (24-13) | L75-89 |
| Mar 8 | Northern Iowa (22-13) | L69-84 | Mar 6 | IL Chicago (17-16) | L80-94 |
| Mar 7 | Drake (12-20) | W72-51 | Mar 1 | at Bradley (20-13) | L78-87 |
| Mar 6 | Murray St (20-13) | W94-80 | Feb 21 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W88-75 |
| Mar 1 | at Indiana St (9-21) | L63-79 | Feb 18 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L61-78 |
| Feb 24 | vs Bradley (20-13) | W93-86 | Feb 15 | vs Belmont (25-6) | L70-87 |
| Feb 21 | vs Valparaiso (17-15) | L67-71 | Feb 12 | at Indiana St (9-21) | W74-72 |
| Feb 18 | at Evansville (5-25) | W84-46 | Feb 9 | vs Northern Iowa (22-13) | L60-89 |
| Feb 15 | vs Illinois St (22-13) | W83-56 | Feb 6 | at S Illinois (15-16) | W91-81 |
| Feb 12 | at Drake (12-20) | W80-70 | Feb 3 | vs IL Chicago (17-16) | W81-74 |
vs
College Basketball