Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Nov 14), 2026-27: Missouri 67%, Marquette 33% at a neutral site.
Missouri's win probability against Marquette has swung between 35% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 61% now.
Missouri's win probability against Marquette has swung between 41% and 67% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Missouri's win probability against Marquette has swung between 48% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.