Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mississippi 87%, Youngstown St 13% at Mississippi.
Mississippi's win probability against Youngstown St is trending down — from 81% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
Mississippi's win probability against Youngstown St has swung between 83% and 88% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 83% now.
Mississippi's win probability against Youngstown St has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.