Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Michigan 62%, Louisville 38% at Michigan.
Michigan's win probability against Louisville is trending down — from 70% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Louisville is trending down — from 76% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Louisville is trending down — from 82% to 62% over the last 6 updates.