Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: South Florida 66%, Memphis 34% at Memphis.
South Florida's win probability against Memphis has swung between 65% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
South Florida's win probability against Memphis has swung between 71% and 76% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.
South Florida's win probability against Memphis has swung between 76% and 81% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 77% now.