Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Siena 67%, Manhattan 33% at Manhattan.
Siena's win probability against Manhattan is trending down — from 70% to 67% over the last 6 updates.
Siena's win probability against Manhattan has swung between 73% and 78% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.
Siena's win probability against Manhattan has swung between 78% and 83% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.