McNeese St vs MTSU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
McNeese St by 7.07
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
MTSU
McNeese St 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
81
B-
|
Offensive |
85
B
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
92
A-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Future) |
73
C-
|
RANKINGS
MTSU
McNeese St
| 157 | Overall | 68 |
| 151 | Power | 95 |
| 170 | Offensive | 136 |
| 158 | Defensive | 69 |
| 128 | SoS (Current) | 243 |
| 128 | SoS (Future) | 243 |
McNeese St#6872%
MTSU#15728%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: McNeese St 72%, MTSU 28% at a neutral site.
McNeese St's win probability against MTSU has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
McNeese St's win probability against MTSU has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
McNeese St's win probability against MTSU has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
McNeese St favored
MTSU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At MTSU | Neutral | At McNeese St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 1 | 55% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 2 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 3 | 70% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 4 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 5 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 9 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 10 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 11 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 12 | 56% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 13 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 14 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 15 | 66% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 16 | 64% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 17 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 18 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 19 | 60% | 69% | 78% |
| Wk 20 | 64% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 21 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 22 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 23 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 24 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
RECORDS
MTSU
McNeese St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
14-15 (48.3%) |
Overall |
26-6 (81.3%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
12-0 (100%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
9-5 (64.3%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-5 (58.3%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
19-1 (95%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
SUPERLATIVES
MTSU
McNeese St
| #110 UAB | Best Win | #91 SF Austin |
| #268 Delaware | Worst Loss | #304 Incarnate Word |
| 37 pts vs #164 Louisiana Tech | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #312 East Texas A&M |
| 25 pts vs #1 Michigan | Largest MOD | 41 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER STATISTICS
MTSU
McNeese St
| 73.5 | Points per Game | 76.6 |
| 74.6 | Points Against | 67.4 |
| 75.2 | Home PPG | 81.5 |
| 72.3 | Home PA | 63.6 |
| 71.5 | Away PPG | 71.9 |
| 74.2 | Away PA | 69.1 |
| 484-417 | Opponent Record | 489-513 |
| 163.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 214 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
MTSU
McNeese St
| Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L69-80 | Mar 19 | #18 Vanderbilt (27-9) | L68-78 |
| Mar 7 | at Missouri St (13-18) | W75-63 | Mar 11 | SF Austin (26-6) | W76-59 |
| Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 | Mar 10 | UTRGV (17-14) | W84-80 |
| Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | W86-85 | Mar 2 | at Nicholls St (13-19) | W75-65 |
| Feb 26 | vs UTEP (8-20) | W77-67 | Feb 28 | at New Orleans (15-18) | W66-63 |
| Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W78-66 | Feb 23 | vs UTRGV (17-14) | W75-68 |
| Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L70-78 | Feb 21 | vs TAM C. Christi (14-15) | W70-54 |
| Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 | Feb 16 | at Northwestern LA (8-22) | W75-64 |
| Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W90-87 | Feb 14 | at East Texas A&M (9-21) | W97-54 |
| Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-20) | L88-89 | Feb 9 | vs Houston Chr (10-20) | W73-69 |
