Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Long Beach St
Illinois St
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
78
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
Long Beach St
6099
Illinois St
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Long Beach St
6099
Illinois St
6099
|
||
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
Long Beach St
Illinois St
| 257 | Overall | 94 |
| 224 | Power | 97 |
| 195 | Offensive | 169 |
| 246 | Defensive | 52 |
| 143 | SoS (Current) | 123 |
| 143 | SoS (Future) | 123 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Illinois St 76%, Long Beach St 24% at Long Beach St.
Illinois St's win probability against Long Beach St is trending down — from 79% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Long Beach St is trending down — from 86% to 83% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Long Beach St has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Long Beach St | Neutral | At Illinois St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 1 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 2 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 3 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 4 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 9 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 10 | 87% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 11 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 12 | 82% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 13 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 14 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 15 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 16 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 17 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 18 | 79% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 19 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 22 | 78% | 84% | 90% |
| Wk 23 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 24 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
Long Beach St
Illinois St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
9-22 (29%) |
Overall |
22-13 (62.9%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Home |
13-2 (86.7%) |
|
4-13 (23.5%) |
Away |
7-7 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-17 (15%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
6-5 (54.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Long Beach St
Illinois St
| #107 Hawaii | Best Win | #57 Dayton |
| #282 UC Riverside | Worst Loss | #296 Evansville |
| 15 pts vs #282 UC Riverside | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #171 Coastal Car |
| 32 pts vs #40 San Diego St | Largest MOD | 27 pts vs #141 IL Chicago |
Long Beach St
Illinois St
| 73.5 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 78.8 | Points Against | 69.1 |
| 76.1 | Home PPG | 78.5 |
| 76.9 | Home PA | 61.1 |
| 71.5 | Away PPG | 71.6 |
| 80.5 | Away PA | 74 |
| 493-491 | Opponent Record | 581-546 |
| 170.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 159.9 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Long Beach St
Illinois St
| Mar 8 | at Hawaii (23-10) | W84-75 | Apr 2 | Auburn (22-16) | L66-88 |
| Mar 7 | at Hawaii (23-10) | W84-75 | Mar 25 | at Dayton (25-12) | W61-55 |
| Mar 5 | vs UC Davis (17-14) | L70-76 | Mar 22 | at Wake Forest (18-17) | W78-75 |
| Feb 28 | at CS Bakersfield (6-24) | W88-87 | Mar 18 | vs Kent (22-10) | W79-58 |
| Feb 26 | at Cal Poly (12-19) | L92-102 | Mar 6 | Northern Iowa (22-13) | L52-74 |
| Feb 21 | vs CS Northridge (18-14) | L76-78 | Mar 1 | vs Belmont (25-6) | W81-74 |
| Feb 19 | vs UC Irvine (21-12) | L58-69 | Feb 25 | at Northern Iowa (22-13) | W71-69 |
| Feb 14 | at UC Davis (17-14) | L54-71 | Feb 21 | at Bradley (20-13) | L60-74 |
| Feb 12 | vs CS Fullerton (16-16) | L82-86 | Feb 18 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W78-61 |
| Feb 5 | at UC San Diego (21-11) | L74-77 | Feb 15 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | L56-83 |
vs
College Basketball