MTSU at Jacksonville St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MTSU by 0.36
TOTAL POINTS
141
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Jacksonville St
MTSU 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
82
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
Jacksonville St
MTSU
| 233 | Overall | 157 |
| 199 | Power | 151 |
| 277 | Offensive | 170 |
| 116 | Defensive | 158 |
| 176 | SoS (Current) | 128 |
| 176 | SoS (Future) | 128 |
MTSU#15751%
Jacksonville St#23349%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: MTSU 51%, Jacksonville St 49% at Jacksonville St.
MTSU's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU favored
Jacksonville St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Jacksonville St | Neutral | At MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 1 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 2 | 28% | 37% | 47% |
| Wk 3 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 4 | 87% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 6 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 8 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 9 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 10 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 11 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 12 | 73% | 80% | 87% |
| Wk 13 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 14 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 20 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 21 | 52% | 61% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 61% | 71% |
| Wk 23 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
RECORDS
Jacksonville St
MTSU
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
12-17 (41.4%) |
Overall |
14-15 (48.3%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Home |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Jacksonville St
MTSU
| #136 Kennesaw | Best Win | #110 UAB |
| #338 North Alabama | Worst Loss | #268 Delaware |
| 19 pts vs #136 Kennesaw | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #164 Louisiana Tech |
| 15 pts vs #116 Sam Houston St | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER STATISTICS
Jacksonville St
MTSU
| 69.9 | Points per Game | 73.5 |
| 70.6 | Points Against | 74.6 |
| 70.2 | Home PPG | 75.2 |
| 68.3 | Home PA | 72.3 |
| 72.2 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 74.4 | Away PA | 74.2 |
| 436-439 | Opponent Record | 484-417 |
| 188.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 163.3 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Jacksonville St
MTSU
| Mar 10 | New Mexico St (13-16) | L63-68 | Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L69-80 |
| Mar 7 | at UTEP (8-20) | W64-61 | Mar 7 | at Missouri St (13-18) | W75-63 |
| Mar 5 | at New Mexico St (13-16) | L75-77 | Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 |
| Feb 28 | vs Liberty (23-8) | L78-81 | Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | W86-85 |
| Feb 26 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W80-70 | Feb 26 | vs UTEP (8-20) | W77-67 |
| Feb 21 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L78-82 | Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W78-66 |
| Feb 18 | at Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L71-77 | Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L70-78 |
| Feb 14 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | L70-79 | Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 |
| Feb 11 | vs UTEP (8-20) | L64-69 | Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W90-87 |
| Feb 7 | vs Kennesaw (18-14) | W77-58 | Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-20) | L88-89 |
