Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Michigan St 53%, Iowa 47% at Iowa.
Michigan St's win probability against Iowa is trending down — from 58% to 53% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan St's win probability against Iowa is trending down — from 65% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan St's win probability against Iowa is trending down — from 72% to 68% over the last 6 updates.