Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Iowa St 60%, Iowa 40% at Iowa.
Iowa St's win probability against Iowa has swung between 60% and 67% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Iowa St's win probability against Iowa has swung between 67% and 74% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Iowa St's win probability against Iowa has swung between 74% and 79% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.