Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Iowa St 92%, Utah 8% at Iowa St.
Iowa St's win probability against Utah is trending down — from 89% to 85% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Utah is trending down — from 92% to 89% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Utah has held at 92% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.