Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Michigan St 58%, Indiana 42% at Indiana.
Michigan St's win probability against Indiana is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan St's win probability against Indiana has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Michigan St's win probability against Indiana has held at 71% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.