Michigan St at Illinois Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Illinois by 4.92
TOTAL POINTS
149
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Michigan St
Illinois 
|
98
A+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Michigan St
Illinois
| 9 | Overall | 8 |
| 11 | Power | 5 |
| 37 | Offensive | 10 |
| 8 | Defensive | 19 |
| 4 | SoS (Current) | 5 |
| 4 | SoS (Full Season) | 5 |
Illinois#864%
Michigan St#936%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Illinois 64%, Michigan St 36% at Illinois.
Illinois' win probability against Michigan St has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Illinois' win probability against Michigan St has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Illinois' win probability against Michigan St has held at 64% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Illinois favored
Michigan St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Michigan St | Neutral | At Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 50% | 57% | 64% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Michigan St
Illinois
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
27-8 (77.1%) |
Overall |
28-9 (75.7%) |
|
15-2 (88.2%) |
Home |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Away |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
17-7 (70.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
16-9 (64%) |
|
10-1 (90.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Illinois
| #5 Purdue | Best Win | #5 Purdue |
| #93 Minnesota | Worst Loss | #24 UCLA |
| 43 pts vs #108 Maryland | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #284 Jackson St |
| 21 pts vs #22 Wisconsin | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Michigan St
Illinois
| 78.8 | Points per Game | 83.2 |
| 68.3 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 80.7 | Home PPG | 86.1 |
| 66.5 | Home PA | 65.8 |
| 74.5 | Away PPG | 84.8 |
| 72 | Away PA | 76.1 |
| 727-468 | Opponent Record | 786-493 |
| 80.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 77.2 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Illinois
| Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L63-67 | Apr 4 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L62-71 |
| Mar 21 | Louisville (24-11) | W77-69 | Mar 28 | Iowa (25-13) | W71-59 |
| Mar 19 | N Dakota St (24-8) | W92-67 | Mar 26 | #6 Houston (30-7) | W65-55 |
| Mar 13 | #24 UCLA (24-12) | L84-88 | Mar 21 | VCU (28-8) | W76-55 |
| Mar 8 | at #1 Michigan (37-3) | L80-90 | Mar 19 | Penn (17-12) | W105-70 |
| Mar 5 | vs Rutgers (14-20) | W91-87 | Mar 13 | #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | L88-91 |
| Mar 1 | at Indiana (18-14) | W77-64 | Mar 8 | at Maryland (13-22) | W78-72 |
| Feb 26 | at #5 Purdue (30-9) | W76-74 | Mar 3 | vs Oregon (12-20) | W80-54 |
| Feb 22 | vs Ohio St (21-13) | W66-60 | Feb 27 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L70-84 |
| Feb 17 | vs #24 UCLA (24-12) | W82-59 | Feb 21 | at #24 UCLA (24-12) | L94-95 |