Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: George Mason 53%, G Washington 47% at George Mason.
George Mason's win probability against G Washington is trending up — from 37% to 40% over the last 6 updates.
George Mason's win probability against G Washington has held at 46% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
George Mason's win probability against G Washington has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.