Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Florida 72%, Vanderbilt 28% at Florida.
Florida's win probability against Vanderbilt has swung between 55% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 59% now.
Florida's win probability against Vanderbilt has swung between 62% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
Florida's win probability against Vanderbilt has swung between 69% and 74% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.