Dayton at Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Florida St by 5.05
TOTAL POINTS
149
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Florida St
Dayton 
|
92
A-
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
94
A
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Florida St
Dayton
| 63 | Overall | 59 |
| 60 | Power | 83 |
| 44 | Offensive | 142 |
| 116 | Defensive | 38 |
| 53 | SoS (Current) | 101 |
| 53 | SoS (Full Season) | 101 |
Florida St#6365%
Dayton#5935%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Florida St 65%, Dayton 35% at Florida St.
Florida St's win probability against Dayton has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against Dayton has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against Dayton has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St favored
Dayton favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Dayton | Neutral | At Florida St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 49% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 66% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Florida St
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
18-15 (54.5%) |
Overall |
25-12 (67.6%) |
|
11-6 (64.7%) |
Home |
14-4 (77.8%) |
|
6-5 (54.5%) |
Away |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
0-6 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
9-14 (39.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
14-11 (56%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Florida St
Dayton
| #31 Miami FL | Best Win | #35 St Louis |
| #197 Massachusetts | Worst Loss | #236 La Salle |
| 47 pts vs #364 MS Valley St | Largest MOV | 40 pts vs #334 Canisius |
| 44 pts vs #49 NC State | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #35 St Louis |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Florida St
Dayton
| 80.4 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 77.9 | Points Against | 69.3 |
| 83.3 | Home PPG | 76.1 |
| 74.8 | Home PA | 64.8 |
| 76.5 | Away PPG | 72.1 |
| 77.5 | Away PA | 72.8 |
| 638-466 | Opponent Record | 692-519 |
| 112.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 130.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Florida St
Dayton
| Mar 12 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L79-80 | Mar 25 | vs Illinois St (22-13) | L55-61 |
| Mar 11 | California (21-12) | W95-89 | Mar 21 | at UNC Wilmington (25-7) | W80-61 |
| Mar 7 | vs SMU (20-14) | W91-78 | Mar 18 | at Bradley (20-13) | W80-66 |
| Mar 4 | at Pittsburgh (13-20) | W75-74 | Mar 15 | VCU (28-8) | L62-70 |
| Feb 28 | at Georgia Tech (11-20) | W80-71 | Mar 14 | St Louis (28-6) | W70-69 |
| Feb 24 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L73-83 | Mar 13 | St Bonaventure (16-17) | W68-63 |
| Feb 21 | at Clemson (24-11) | W70-65 | Mar 6 | vs VCU (28-8) | L62-68 |
| Feb 17 | vs Boston College (11-20) | W80-72 | Mar 3 | at Richmond (14-17) | W65-60 |
| Feb 14 | at Virginia Tech (19-13) | W92-69 | Feb 27 | at G Washington (18-16) | W68-66 |
| Feb 10 | vs #13 Virginia (30-6) | L58-61 | Feb 24 | vs St Louis (28-6) | W77-62 |