Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: PFW 58%, E Illinois 42% at E Illinois.
PFW's win probability against E Illinois is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
PFW's win probability against E Illinois is trending down — from 68% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
PFW's win probability against E Illinois is trending down — from 75% to 72% over the last 6 updates.