Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Duke 63%, Illinois 37% at Duke.
Duke's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 56% to 49% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 63% to 56% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 70% to 63% over the last 6 updates.