South Florida at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
South Florida by 2.14
TOTAL POINTS
152
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Dayton
South Florida 
|
93
A-
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
90
A-
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Defensive |
85
B
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
89
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Dayton
South Florida
| 59 | Overall | 46 |
| 83 | Power | 46 |
| 142 | Offensive | 15 |
| 38 | Defensive | 128 |
| 101 | SoS (Current) | 95 |
| 101 | SoS (Full Season) | 95 |
South Florida#4656%
Dayton#5944%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: South Florida 56%, Dayton 44% at Dayton.
South Florida's win probability against Dayton has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
South Florida's win probability against Dayton is trending up — from 61% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
South Florida's win probability against Dayton has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
South Florida favored
Dayton favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Dayton | Neutral | At South Florida |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 55% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 54% | 61% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 55% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 56% | 63% | 70% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 56% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 56% | 64% | 70% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 56% | 64% | 70% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Dayton
South Florida
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
25-12 (67.6%) |
Overall |
24-9 (72.7%) |
|
14-4 (77.8%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Away |
9-3 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
1-1 (50%) |
|
14-11 (56%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
11-1 (91.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-1 (90%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Dayton
South Florida
| #35 St Louis | Best Win | #21 Utah St |
| #236 La Salle | Worst Loss | #182 Temple |
| 40 pts vs #334 Canisius | Largest MOV | 50 pts vs #352 Coppin St |
| 31 pts vs #35 St Louis | Largest MOD | 15 pts vs #75 Colorado St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Dayton
South Florida
| 74.1 | Points per Game | 86.8 |
| 69.3 | Points Against | 76.5 |
| 76.1 | Home PPG | 90.1 |
| 64.8 | Home PA | 72.4 |
| 72.1 | Away PPG | 86.7 |
| 72.8 | Away PA | 79.9 |
| 692-519 | Opponent Record | 601-470 |
| 130.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 129.5 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 11 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Dayton
South Florida
| Mar 25 | vs Illinois St (22-13) | L55-61 | Mar 19 | Louisville (24-11) | L79-83 |
| Mar 21 | at UNC Wilmington (25-7) | W80-61 | Mar 15 | Wichita St (23-12) | W70-55 |
| Mar 18 | at Bradley (20-13) | W80-66 | Mar 14 | Charlotte (16-17) | W86-64 |
| Mar 15 | VCU (28-8) | L62-70 | Mar 8 | vs Charlotte (16-17) | W83-60 |
| Mar 14 | St Louis (28-6) | W70-69 | Mar 5 | at Memphis (13-19) | W96-89 |
| Mar 13 | St Bonaventure (16-17) | W68-63 | Mar 1 | vs Tulane (17-15) | W90-62 |
| Mar 6 | vs VCU (28-8) | L62-68 | Feb 25 | at Rice (11-18) | W75-56 |
| Mar 3 | at Richmond (14-17) | W65-60 | Feb 19 | vs Memphis (13-19) | W87-66 |
| Feb 27 | at G Washington (18-16) | W68-66 | Feb 15 | at FL Atlantic (16-15) | W83-81 |
| Feb 24 | vs St Louis (28-6) | W77-62 | Feb 11 | at Wichita St (23-12) | W66-58 |