Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: G Washington 52%, Davidson 48% at Davidson.
G Washington's win probability against Davidson is trending down — from 55% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
G Washington's win probability against Davidson has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
G Washington's win probability against Davidson has held at 67% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.