Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Dayton 56%, Davidson 44% at Davidson.
Dayton's win probability against Davidson has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against Davidson has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against Davidson has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.