Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Purdue
Connecticut
|
99
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Purdue
6099
Connecticut
6099
|
||
|
97
A+
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Purdue
6099
Connecticut
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
97
A+
|
Purdue
Connecticut
| 5 | Overall | 4 |
| 8 | Power | 9 |
| 16 | Offensive | 61 |
| 20 | Defensive | 3 |
| 4 | SoS (Current) | 19 |
| 4 | SoS (Future) | 19 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Connecticut 55%, Purdue 45% at Connecticut.
Connecticut's win probability against Purdue has swung between 30% and 36% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 36% now.
Connecticut's win probability against Purdue has swung between 39% and 45% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Connecticut's win probability against Purdue has swung between 49% and 56% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
| Week | At Purdue | Neutral | At Connecticut |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 34% | 43% | 54% |
| Wk 1 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 2 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 3 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 4 | 27% | 36% | 45% |
| Wk 5 | 26% | 34% | 44% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 7 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 8 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 9 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 10 | 30% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 11 | 30% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 12 | 29% | 38% | 48% |
| Wk 13 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 14 | 36% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 15 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 16 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 17 | 31% | 40% | 50% |
| Wk 18 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 19 | 36% | 45% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 30% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 22 | 33% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 24 | 36% | 45% | 55% |
Purdue
Connecticut
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
30-9 (76.9%) |
Overall |
34-6 (85%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Away |
9-2 (81.8%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Versus Top 25 |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
17-9 (65.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
20-4 (83.3%) |
|
13-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
14-2 (87.5%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Purdue
Connecticut
| #1 Michigan | Best Win | #3 Duke |
| #58 Indiana | Worst Loss | #105 Marquette |
| 47 pts vs #316 E Illinois | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #319 MA Lowell |
| 23 pts vs #12 Iowa St | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #7 St John's |
Purdue
Connecticut
| 81.6 | Points per Game | 76.6 |
| 70.5 | Points Against | 65.2 |
| 84.8 | Home PPG | 79.7 |
| 72.7 | Home PA | 62.6 |
| 77.7 | Away PPG | 75.5 |
| 69.8 | Away PA | 67.4 |
| 822-521 | Opponent Record | 804-543 |
| 69.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85.7 |
| W 9 | Longest Streak | W 18 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Purdue
Connecticut
| Mar 28 | #2 Arizona (36-3) | L64-79 | Apr 6 | #1 Michigan (37-3) | L63-69 |
| Mar 26 | Texas (20-15) | W79-77 | Apr 4 | #10 Illinois (28-9) | W71-62 |
| Mar 22 | Miami FL (26-9) | W79-69 | Mar 29 | #3 Duke (35-3) | W73-72 |
| Mar 20 | Queens NC (20-14) | W104-71 | Mar 27 | #9 Michigan St (27-8) | W67-63 |
| Mar 15 | #1 Michigan (37-3) | W80-72 | Mar 22 | #24 UCLA (24-12) | W73-57 |
| Mar 14 | #24 UCLA (24-12) | W73-66 | Mar 20 | Furman (19-13) | W82-71 |
| Mar 13 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | W74-58 | Mar 14 | #7 St John's (30-7) | L52-72 |
| Mar 12 | Northwestern (15-19) | W81-68 | Mar 13 | Georgetown (16-18) | W67-51 |
| Mar 7 | vs #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | L93-97 | Mar 12 | Xavier (15-18) | W93-68 |
| Mar 4 | at Northwestern (15-19) | W70-66 | Mar 7 | at Marquette (12-20) | L62-68 |