Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Canisius
Buffalo
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
61
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
83
B-
6099
|
|
Canisius
6099
Buffalo
6099
|
||
|
76
C
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Canisius
6099
Buffalo
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
77
C+
|
Canisius
Buffalo
| 334 | Overall | 214 |
| 345 | Power | 206 |
| 360 | Offensive | 150 |
| 218 | Defensive | 262 |
| 301 | SoS (Current) | 207 |
| 301 | SoS (Future) | 207 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Buffalo 80%, Canisius 20% at Canisius.
Buffalo's win probability against Canisius has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Buffalo's win probability against Canisius has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Buffalo's win probability against Canisius has held at 91% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Canisius | Neutral | At Buffalo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 1 | 68% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 2 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 9 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 10 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 11 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 12 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 13 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 14 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 15 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 16 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 17 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 18 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 19 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 20 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 21 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 22 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 23 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 24 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
Canisius
Buffalo
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
9-21 (30%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Home |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
3-13 (18.8%) |
Away |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-14 (12.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Canisius
Buffalo
| #135 Merrimack | Best Win | #95 DePaul |
| #340 Niagara | Worst Loss | #313 N Illinois |
| 27 pts vs #354 Maine | Largest MOV | 18 pts vs #334 Canisius |
| 44 pts vs #124 Duquesne | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #140 Toledo |
Canisius
Buffalo
| 62.2 | Points per Game | 77.5 |
| 71.4 | Points Against | 77 |
| 67.3 | Home PPG | 76.4 |
| 69.9 | Home PA | 77.9 |
| 57.8 | Away PPG | 79.4 |
| 72.7 | Away PA | 77.4 |
| 458-487 | Opponent Record | 470-456 |
| 232.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 202.4 |
| L 11 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Canisius
Buffalo
| Mar 1 | vs Quinnipiac (18-13) | L63-67 | Mar 12 | Akron (27-6) | L70-73 |
| Feb 27 | vs Merrimack (23-11) | W67-62 | Mar 6 | at Toledo (17-15) | L78-98 |
| Feb 22 | at Mt St Mary's (14-17) | L47-68 | Mar 3 | vs E Michigan (9-21) | W72-67 |
| Feb 20 | at Rider (3-25) | W72-66 | Feb 28 | vs C Michigan (8-21) | L70-75 |
| Feb 15 | vs Manhattan (11-20) | L65-69 | Feb 24 | at Akron (27-6) | L85-99 |
| Feb 13 | vs Iona (18-14) | L63-69 | Feb 21 | at Massachusetts (16-16) | W86-82 |
| Feb 5 | at Quinnipiac (18-13) | L60-75 | Feb 17 | vs N Illinois (7-21) | L70-72 |
| Feb 3 | at Niagara (7-22) | L56-65 | Feb 11 | at Ball St (10-19) | W63-53 |
| Feb 1 | vs Siena (23-12) | L63-78 | Feb 7 | at South Alabama (19-12) | L69-81 |
| Jan 30 | vs Marist (18-12) | L86-88 | Feb 3 | vs Miami OH (29-2) | L71-73 |
vs
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