Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
North Florida
Austin Peay
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
82
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
North Florida
6099
Austin Peay
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
75
C
6099
|
|
North Florida
6099
Austin Peay
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
66
D
|
North Florida
Austin Peay
| 341 | Overall | 138 |
| 338 | Power | 187 |
| 156 | Offensive | 171 |
| 365 | Defensive | 221 |
| 204 | SoS (Current) | 307 |
| 204 | SoS (Future) | 307 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Austin Peay 91%, North Florida 9% at Austin Peay.
Austin Peay's win probability against North Florida has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Austin Peay's win probability against North Florida has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Austin Peay's win probability against North Florida has held at 91% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At North Florida | Neutral | At Austin Peay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 1 | 79% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 85% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 9 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 10 | 83% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 11 | 84% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 12 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 13 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 14 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 15 | 84% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 16 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 17 | 83% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 18 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 19 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 20 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 21 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 22 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 23 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 24 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
North Florida
Austin Peay
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
5-25 (16.7%) |
Overall |
20-9 (69%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
2-14 (12.5%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-7 (30%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
17-2 (89.5%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
North Florida
Austin Peay
| #247 FGCU | Best Win | #150 Queens NC |
| #298 Stetson | Worst Loss | #275 Bellarmine |
| 14 pts vs #338 North Alabama | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #338 North Alabama |
| 51 pts vs #16 Gonzaga | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #275 Bellarmine |
North Florida
Austin Peay
| 77.1 | Points per Game | 79 |
| 89.6 | Points Against | 74.6 |
| 80.7 | Home PPG | 82.9 |
| 86.5 | Home PA | 71.4 |
| 73.5 | Away PPG | 76.8 |
| 91.6 | Away PA | 76.8 |
| 493-448 | Opponent Record | 385-520 |
| 201.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 234.7 |
| L 15 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
North Florida
Austin Peay
| Mar 4 | West Georgia (13-17) | L85-93 | Mar 7 | Queens NC (20-14) | L83-90 |
| Feb 28 | vs Jacksonville (10-20) | L61-85 | Mar 6 | Stetson (10-21) | W69-60 |
| Feb 26 | vs FGCU (14-18) | W76-70 | Feb 28 | at Bellarmine (11-19) | L97-111 |
| Feb 21 | at Stetson (10-21) | L71-76 | Feb 25 | vs Cent Arkansas (20-12) | L88-93 |
| Feb 19 | vs Austin Peay (20-9) | L76-77 | Feb 21 | at Jacksonville (10-20) | W65-61 |
| Feb 14 | at Jacksonville (10-20) | L56-63 | Feb 19 | at North Florida (5-25) | W77-76 |
| Feb 11 | at FGCU (14-18) | L81-90 | Feb 14 | vs Bellarmine (11-19) | W90-70 |
| Feb 7 | at Queens NC (20-14) | L72-91 | Feb 11 | at Queens NC (20-14) | W95-87 |
| Feb 5 | at West Georgia (13-17) | W81-73 | Feb 7 | vs North Alabama (7-21) | W91-62 |
| Jan 31 | vs Lipscomb (17-13) | L94-100 | Feb 4 | vs Lipscomb (17-13) | W87-76 |
vs
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