Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: S Illinois 79%, Ark Little Rock 21% at Ark Little Rock.
S Illinois' win probability against Ark Little Rock is trending down — from 84% to 79% over the last 6 updates.
S Illinois' win probability against Ark Little Rock is trending down — from 88% to 84% over the last 6 updates.
S Illinois' win probability against Ark Little Rock is trending down — from 91% to 88% over the last 6 updates.