Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: California PA 71%, Wheeling 29% at a neutral site.
California PA's win probability against Wheeling has swung between 64% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 64% now.
California PA's win probability against Wheeling has swung between 71% and 76% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.
California PA's win probability against Wheeling has held at 78% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.