Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Findlay 72%, Malone 28% at Malone.
Findlay's win probability against Malone has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Findlay's win probability against Malone has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Findlay's win probability against Malone has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.