Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ashland 63%, Malone 37% at Malone.
Ashland's win probability against Malone has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ashland's win probability against Malone has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ashland's win probability against Malone has held at 79% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.