Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Chowan 59%, Tusculum 41% at Chowan.
Chowan's win probability against Tusculum has held at 40% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chowan's win probability against Tusculum has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chowan's win probability against Tusculum has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.