Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: West Georgia 74%, Citadel 26% at West Georgia.
West Georgia's win probability against Citadel is trending down — from 59% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
West Georgia's win probability against Citadel has held at 66% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
West Georgia's win probability against Citadel has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.