MTSU at UTEP Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MTSU by 3.24
TOTAL POINTS
143
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
UTEP
MTSU 
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
83
B-
|
Defensive |
83
B-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
RANKINGS
UTEP
MTSU
| 322 | Overall | 173 |
| 229 | Power | 147 |
| 359 | Offensive | 166 |
| 153 | Defensive | 157 |
| 129 | SoS (Current) | 119 |
| 129 | SoS (Future) | 119 |
MTSU#15060%UTEP#24640%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: MTSU 60%, UTEP 40% at UTEP.
MTSU's win probability against UTEP has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against UTEP has held at 69% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against UTEP has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU favored
UTEP favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At UTEP | Neutral | At MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 39% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 1 | 26% | 35% | 44% |
| Wk 2 | 36% | 45% | 54% |
| Wk 3 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 7 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 13 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 14 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 15 | 64% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 17 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 18 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 19 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 20 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 21 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 23 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 24 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
RECORDS
UTEP
MTSU
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
11-20 (35.5%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Away |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
5-13 (27.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-11 (38.9%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UTEP
MTSU
| #126 N Dakota St | Best Win | #116 UAB |
| #515 Norfolk St | Worst Loss | #387 Delaware |
| 42 pts vs #677 Permian Basin | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #653 Webster |
| 32 pts vs #158 WKU | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER STATISTICS
UTEP
MTSU
| 69.3 | Points per Game | 74.7 |
| 72.4 | Points Against | 74 |
| 74.8 | Home PPG | 77.8 |
| 70.3 | Home PA | 71.1 |
| 63.9 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 74.6 | Away PA | 74.2 |
| 545-434 | Opponent Record | 534-425 |
| 219.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 210.4 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UTEP
MTSU
| Mar 7 | vs Jacksonville St (13-17) | L61-64 | Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (18-14) | L69-80 |
| Mar 5 | vs Kennesaw (20-14) | W78-71 | Mar 7 | at Missouri St (16-18) | W75-63 |
| Feb 28 | at WKU (16-14) | L65-97 | Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 |
| Feb 26 | at MTSU (15-15) | L67-77 | Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (15-16) | W86-85 |
| Feb 21 | at New Mexico St (15-16) | L63-67 | Feb 26 | vs UTEP (11-20) | W77-67 |
| Feb 14 | vs Liberty (23-8) | L64-73 | Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-21) | W78-66 |
| Feb 11 | at Jacksonville St (13-17) | W69-64 | Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (21-12) | L70-78 |
| Feb 7 | vs New Mexico St (15-16) | W91-88 | Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 |
| Feb 4 | at Sam Houston St (21-12) | L66-70 | Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (20-14) | W90-87 |
| Jan 31 | vs Delaware (10-21) | W70-55 | Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-21) | L88-89 |
