MTSU at Missouri St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Missouri St by 0.86
TOTAL POINTS
147
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Missouri St
MTSU 
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
79
C+
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
83
B-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
RANKINGS
Missouri St
MTSU
| 252 | Overall | 173 |
| 166 | Power | 147 |
| 210 | Offensive | 166 |
| 169 | Defensive | 157 |
| 156 | SoS (Current) | 119 |
| 156 | SoS (Future) | 119 |
Missouri St#20953%MTSU#15047%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Missouri St 53%, MTSU 47% at Missouri St.
Missouri St's win probability against MTSU is trending up — from 31% to 34% over the last 6 weeks.
Missouri St's win probability against MTSU is trending up — from 40% to 43% over the last 6 weeks.
Missouri St's win probability against MTSU is trending up — from 49% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
Missouri St favored
MTSU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At MTSU | Neutral | At Missouri St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 1 | 43% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 2 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 3 | 27% | 36% | 45% |
| Wk 4 | 15% | 22% | 29% |
| Wk 5 | 8% | 11% | 16% |
| Wk 6 | 13% | 19% | 26% |
| Wk 7 | 14% | 19% | 26% |
| Wk 13 | 28% | 37% | 46% |
| Wk 14 | 29% | 38% | 48% |
| Wk 15 | 31% | 40% | 49% |
| Wk 17 | 32% | 41% | 50% |
| Wk 18 | 31% | 40% | 49% |
| Wk 19 | 31% | 40% | 50% |
| Wk 20 | 34% | 43% | 52% |
| Wk 21 | 34% | 43% | 52% |
| Wk 22 | 34% | 43% | 52% |
| Wk 23 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
RECORDS
Missouri St
MTSU
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
16-18 (47.1%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
11-7 (61.1%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
5-15 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-11 (38.9%) |
|
11-3 (78.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Missouri St
MTSU
| #81 Liberty | Best Win | #116 UAB |
| #387 Delaware | Worst Loss | #387 Delaware |
| 49 pts vs #689 NW Oklahoma St | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #653 Webster |
| 24 pts vs #46 Tulsa | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER STATISTICS
Missouri St
MTSU
| 75 | Points per Game | 74.7 |
| 73.6 | Points Against | 74 |
| 78.5 | Home PPG | 77.8 |
| 72.4 | Home PA | 71.1 |
| 70.8 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 76.1 | Away PA | 74.2 |
| 544-513 | Opponent Record | 534-425 |
| 245.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 210.4 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Missouri St
MTSU
| Mar 13 | Louisiana Tech (18-14) | L66-69 | Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (18-14) | L69-80 |
| Mar 11 | Liberty (23-8) | W77-69 | Mar 7 | at Missouri St (16-18) | W75-63 |
| Mar 10 | Florida Intl (12-17) | W75-72 | Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 |
| Mar 7 | vs MTSU (15-15) | L63-75 | Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (15-16) | W86-85 |
| Mar 5 | vs WKU (16-14) | W87-74 | Feb 26 | vs UTEP (11-20) | W77-67 |
| Feb 28 | at Sam Houston St (21-12) | L81-86 | Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-21) | W78-66 |
| Feb 26 | at Louisiana Tech (18-14) | L70-72 | Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (21-12) | L70-78 |
| Feb 21 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | L67-70 | Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 |
| Feb 18 | vs Kennesaw (20-14) | L87-91 | Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (20-14) | W90-87 |
| Feb 14 | vs Delaware (10-21) | L67-76 | Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-21) | L88-89 |
