MTSU at Evansville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MTSU by 7.24
TOTAL POINTS
146
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Evansville
MTSU 
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
74
C
|
Defensive |
83
B-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
RANKINGS
Evansville
MTSU
| 436 | Overall | 173 |
| 292 | Power | 147 |
| 364 | Offensive | 166 |
| 256 | Defensive | 157 |
| 86 | SoS (Current) | 119 |
| 86 | SoS (Future) | 119 |
MTSU#15072%Evansville#29828%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: MTSU 72%, Evansville 28% at Evansville.
MTSU's win probability against Evansville has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against Evansville has held at 79% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against Evansville has held at 85% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
MTSU favored
Evansville favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Evansville | Neutral | At MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 1 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 2 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 83% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 5 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 7 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 13 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 14 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 15 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 17 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 19 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 20 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 21 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 22 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 23 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 24 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
RECORDS
Evansville
MTSU
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
5-25 (16.7%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
1-12 (7.7%) |
Away |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-21 (12.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-11 (38.9%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Evansville
MTSU
| #103 Illinois St | Best Win | #116 UAB |
| #379 Indiana St | Worst Loss | #387 Delaware |
| 12 pts vs #418 Ball St | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #653 Webster |
| 38 pts vs #168 IL Chicago | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER STATISTICS
Evansville
MTSU
| 65.8 | Points per Game | 74.7 |
| 78.3 | Points Against | 74 |
| 69.7 | Home PPG | 77.8 |
| 77.3 | Home PA | 71.1 |
| 63 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 79.5 | Away PA | 74.2 |
| 567-427 | Opponent Record | 534-425 |
| 165.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 210.4 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Evansville
MTSU
| Mar 5 | Northern Iowa (23-13) | L59-68 | Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (18-14) | L69-80 |
| Mar 1 | vs S Illinois (16-16) | L67-81 | Mar 7 | at Missouri St (16-18) | W75-63 |
| Feb 28 | vs Valparaiso (17-15) | W80-79 | Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 |
| Feb 25 | at Belmont (25-6) | L64-98 | Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (15-16) | W86-85 |
| Feb 21 | at Murray St (20-13) | L75-88 | Feb 26 | vs UTEP (11-20) | W77-67 |
| Feb 18 | vs IL Chicago (18-16) | L46-84 | Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-21) | W78-66 |
| Feb 12 | at S Illinois (16-16) | L60-86 | Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (21-12) | L70-78 |
| Feb 9 | vs Illinois St (23-13) | W88-80 | Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 |
| Feb 6 | at Valparaiso (17-15) | L63-70 | Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (20-14) | W90-87 |
| Feb 3 | vs Indiana St (11-21) | L63-84 | Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-21) | L88-89 |
