Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Emory
Mary Washington
|
99
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Emory
6099
Mary Washington
6099
|
||
|
91
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Emory
6099
Mary Washington
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
98
A+
|
Emory
Mary Washington
| 2 #114 overall |
Overall | 1 #93 overall |
| 3 #476 overall |
Power | 4 #477 overall |
| 9 #297 overall |
Offensive | 29 #552 overall |
| 89 #686 overall |
Defensive | 8 #421 overall |
| 2 #450 overall |
SoS (Current) | 11 #515 overall |
| 2 #450 overall |
SoS (Future) | 11 #515 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mary Washington 59%, Emory 41% at Mary Washington.
Mary Washington's win probability against Emory is trending up — from 36% to 40% over the last 6 weeks.
Mary Washington's win probability against Emory is trending up — from 45% to 50% over the last 6 weeks.
Mary Washington's win probability against Emory is trending up — from 55% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Emory | Neutral | At Mary Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 14% | 20% | 27% |
| Wk 1 | 12% | 17% | 24% |
| Wk 2 | 26% | 34% | 43% |
| Wk 3 | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 4 | 30% | 39% | 48% |
| Wk 5 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 25% | 34% | 43% |
| Wk 13 | 29% | 38% | 47% |
| Wk 14 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 15 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 17 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 18 | 36% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 19 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 39% | 48% | 57% |
| Wk 21 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
Emory
Mary Washington
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
27-4 (87.1%) |
Overall |
31-3 (91.2%) |
|
14-0 (100%) |
Home |
16-0 (100%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Away |
6-2 (75%) |
|
6-3 (66.7%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
16-4 (80%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
11-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Last 10 Games |
10-0 (100%) |
Emory
Mary Washington
| #148 Chicago | Best Win | #114 Emory |
| #360 Trinity TX | Worst Loss | #175 Randolph-Macon |
| 38 pts vs #457 Bates | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #888 Mary Baldwin |
| 15 pts vs #237 Washington StL | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
Emory
Mary Washington
| 88.5 | Points per Game | 79.5 |
| 76.8 | Points Against | 65.1 |
| 90.7 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 74.9 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 87.7 | Away PPG | 79.6 |
| 81.9 | Away PA | 69.4 |
| 519-325 | Opponent Record | 577-369 |
| 480 | Avg Opponent Rank | 521.9 |
| W 13 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 13 |
Emory
Mary Washington
| Apr 5 | Mary Washington (31-3) | L73-75 | Apr 5 | Emory (27-4) | W75-73 |
| Mar 21 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W72-58 | Mar 21 | Trinity CT (30-3) | W64-61 |
| Mar 19 | IL Wesleyan (26-5) | W83-78 | Mar 19 | Chicago (24-5) | W81-73 |
| Mar 13 | vs Yeshiva (22-9) | W101-80 | Mar 14 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Mar 7 | vs Roanoke (22-7) | W83-81 | Mar 13 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Mar 6 | vs MS Women (16-12) | W87-73 | Mar 7 | vs Amherst (19-8) | W81-64 |
| Feb 28 | vs Rochester NY (11-14) | W93-89 | Mar 6 | Worcester St (15-15) | W86-55 |
| Feb 25 | vs Carnegie Mellon (11-15) | W94-70 | Feb 28 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W88-58 |
| Feb 22 | at Carnegie Mellon (11-15) | W87-77 | Feb 27 | Salisbury (11-15) | W55-46 |
| Feb 20 | at Case Western (12-13) | W101-93 | Feb 24 | at UC Santa Cruz (10-12) | W76-52 |
vs
College Basketball