Islam Makhachev vs Michael Morales Fight Prediction
Win Probability
VS
DIV. RANK
#1
RECORD
18-1
RATINGS UPDATED
Nov 1, 2026
RECORD
7-0
DIV. RANK
#2
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Ratings
Islam Makhachev
Michael Morales
|
99
A+
|
Performance |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
98
A+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
Rankings
Islam Makhachev
Michael Morales
| 1 | Overall | 2 |
| 1 | Power | 3 |
| 1 | Offensive | 9 |
| 4 | Defensive | 1 |
Records
Islam Makhachev
Michael Morales
| 18-1 (94.7%) | Overall | 7-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | vs. Top 10 | 0-0 (0%) |
| 17-1 (94.4%) | vs. >.500 Fighters | 5-0 (100%) |
| 1-0 (100%) | vs. <.500 Fighters | 2-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Last 5 Fights | 5-0 (100%) |
Superlatives
Islam Makhachev
Michael Morales
|
Lightweight #2 Alexander Volkanovski (16-3) 2023-10-21 UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 — Round 1 KO/TKO Kick |
Best Win |
Welterweight #12 Sean Brady (9-2) 2025-11-15 UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev — Round 1 KO/TKO Punches |
| Islam Makhachev has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. | Worst Loss | Michael Morales has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. |
Other Statistics
Islam Makhachev
Michael Morales
| 11 (57.9%) | Finishes | 5 (71.4%) |
| 3 (15.8%) | KOs | 5 (71.4%) |
| 8 (42.1%) | Submissions | 0 (0%) |
| 7 (36.8%) | Decisions | 2 (28.6%) |
| 218-114 | Opponent Record | 82-55 |
| 23.5 | Avg. Opponent Rank | 42.4 |
| W 17 | Long Streak | W 7 |
| W 17 | Current Streak | W 7 |
Fight Stats
Islam Makhachev
Michael Morales
| 35 | Age | 27 |
| 2.27 | Strikes Landed / Min | 6.25 |
| 1.42 | Strikes Absorbed / Min | 3.21 |
| +0.86 | Striking Differential | +3.04 |
| 3.22 | Takedowns / 15 Min | 0.26 |
| 0.34 | Knockdowns / 15 Min | 1.84 |
| 0.87 | Sub. Attempts / 15 Min | 0.00 |
| 223 min | UFC Fight Time | 57 min |
Last 5 Fights
Islam Makhachev
Michael Morales
| 2026-08-15 | #5 Ian Machado Garry (10-2)Round 5 U-DEC · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry | W | 2025-11-15 | #12 Sean Brady (9-2)Round 1 KO/TKO Punches · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev | W |
| 2025-11-15 | #14 Jack Della Maddalena (8-2)Round 5 U-DEC · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev | W | 2025-05-17 | #55 Gilbert Burns (15-10)Round 1 KO/TKO Punches · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales | W |
| 2025-01-18 | #24 Renato Moicano (13-8)LightweightRound 1 SUB D'Arce Choke · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano | W | 2024-08-24 | #26 Neil Magny (25-13)Round 1 KO/TKO Punches · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho | W |
| 2024-06-01 | #39 Dustin Poirier (22-9)LightweightRound 5 SUB D'Arce Choke · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier | W | 2023-11-18 | #23 Jake Matthews (16-8)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig | W |
| 2023-10-21 | #2 Alexander Volkanovski (16-3)LightweightRound 1 KO/TKO Kick · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 | W | 2023-07-01 | #66 Max Griffin (8-11)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov | W |