Tom Aspinall vs Vitor Petrino Fight Prediction
Win Probability
VS
DIV. RANK
#4
RECORD
8-1
RATINGS UPDATED
Nov 8, 2026
RECORD
8-2
DIV. RANK
#7
See this week's UFC predictions →
Ratings
Tom Aspinall
Vitor Petrino
|
97
A+
|
Performance |
95
A
|
|
99
A+
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
92
A-
|
Offensive |
92
A-
|
|
99
A+
|
Defensive |
84
B
|
Rankings
Tom Aspinall
Vitor Petrino
| 4 | Overall | 7 |
| 1 | Power | 17 |
| 11 | Offensive | 10 |
| 1 | Defensive | 21 |
Records
Tom Aspinall
Vitor Petrino
| 8-1 (88.9%) | Overall | 8-2 (80%) |
| 2-0 (100%) | vs. Top 10 | 1-0 (100%) |
| 6-1 (85.7%) | vs. >.500 Fighters | 5-2 (71.4%) |
| 2-0 (100%) | vs. <.500 Fighters | 3-0 (100%) |
| 4-1 (80%) | Last 5 Fights | 4-1 (80%) |
Superlatives
Tom Aspinall
Vitor Petrino
|
Heavyweight #3 Alexander Volkov (15-5) 2022-03-19 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall — Round 1 SUB Straight Armbar |
Best Win |
Light Heavyweight #7 Modestas Bukauskas (9-5) 2023-11-04 UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis — Round 2 KO/TKO Punch |
|
Heavyweight #13 Curtis Blaydes (15-6) 2022-07-23 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall — Round 1 KO/TKO |
Worst Loss |
Light Heavyweight #35 Anthony Smith (13-12) 2024-05-04 UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg — Round 1 SUB Guillotine Choke |
Other Statistics
Tom Aspinall
Vitor Petrino
| 8 (88.9%) | Finishes | 4 (40%) |
| 6 (66.7%) | KOs | 2 (20%) |
| 2 (22.2%) | Submissions | 2 (20%) |
| 0 (0%) | Decisions | 4 (40%) |
| 116-72 | Opponent Record | 58-57 |
| 13.3 | Avg. Opponent Rank | 25.8 |
| W 5 | Long Streak | W 4 |
| W 3 | Current Streak | W 4 |
Fight Stats
Tom Aspinall
Vitor Petrino
| 33 | Age | 29 |
| 7.63 | Strikes Landed / Min | 3.25 |
| 3.62 | Strikes Absorbed / Min | 2.60 |
| +4.01 | Striking Differential | +0.65 |
| 2.62 | Takedowns / 15 Min | 3.00 |
| 3.27 | Knockdowns / 15 Min | 0.41 |
| 1.31 | Sub. Attempts / 15 Min | 0.68 |
| 23 min | UFC Fight Time | 110 min |
Last 5 Fights
Tom Aspinall
Vitor Petrino
| 2025-10-25 | #2 Ciryl Gane (11-2)Round 1 CNC · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane | - | 2026-08-22 | #24 Serghei Spivac (9-7)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues | W |
| 2024-07-27 | #13 Curtis Blaydes (15-6)Round 1 KO/TKO Punch · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 | W | 2026-03-14 | #18 Steven Asplund (2-1)Round 3 U-DEC · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos | W |
| 2023-11-11 | #8 Sergei Pavlovich (9-3)Round 1 KO/TKO Punch · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira | W | 2025-10-11 | #27 Thomas Petersen (4-4)Round 3 KO/TKO Punch · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot | W |
| 2023-07-22 | #30 Marcin Tybura (14-11)Round 1 KO/TKO Punch · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura | W | 2025-07-12 | #49 Austen Lane (1-5)Round 1 SUB Rear Naked Choke · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira | W |
| 2022-07-23 | #13 Curtis Blaydes (15-6)Round 1 KO/TKO · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall | L | 2024-12-14 | #12 Dustin Jacoby (10-7)Light HeavyweightRound 3 KO/TKO Punch · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley | L |