Prediction Updated: Sunday July 21, 2024
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Heavyweight
Tom Aspinall 58 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Heavyweight
Jailton Almeida 42 |
| RATINGS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 99 | Performance | 98 | A+ |
| A+ | 99 | Power | 94 | A |
|
A-
|
91
|
Offensive |
95
|
A
|
|
A+
|
99
|
Defensive |
97
|
A+
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Performance | 2 |
| 1 | Power | 6 |
| 9 | Offensive | 5 |
| 1 | Defensive | 3 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 (87.5%) | Overall | 7-1 (87.5%) |
| 1-1 (50%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 0-1 (0%) |
| 5-1 (83.3%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 5-1 (83.3%) |
| 2-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 2-0 (100%) |
| 4-1 (80%) | Last 5 Fights | 4-1 (80%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Heavyweight #3 Alexander Volkov (12-4) 2022-03-19 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall Round 1 SUB Straight Armbar | Best Win | Heavyweight #14 Jairzinho Rozenstruik (8-5) 2023-05-13 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Round 1 SUB Rear Naked Choke |
| Heavyweight #4 Curtis Blaydes (13-4) 2022-07-23 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Round 1 KO/TKO | Worst Loss | Heavyweight #4 Curtis Blaydes (13-4) 2024-03-09 UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Round 2 KO/TKO Punches |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 7 (87.5%) | Finishes | 6 (75%) |
| 5 (62.5%) | KOs | 2 (25%) |
| 2 (25%) | Submissions | 4 (50%) |
| 0 (0%) | Decisions | 1 (12.5%) |
| 78-54 | Opponent Record | 57-38 |
| 15.9 | Average Opponent Rank | 23.6 |
| W 5 | Long Streak | W 6 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2023-11-11 Heavyweight #12 Sergei Pavlovich (6-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira |
W 2024-06-01 Heavyweight #18 Alexandr Romanov (6-3) Round 1 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
|
| W 2023-07-22 Heavyweight #11 Marcin Tybura (12-7) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
L 2024-03-09 Heavyweight #4 Curtis Blaydes (13-4) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 |
|
| L 2022-07-23 Heavyweight #4 Curtis Blaydes (13-4) Round 1 KO/TKO UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
W 2023-11-04 Heavyweight #16 Derrick Lewis (19-10) Round 5 U-DEC UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis |
|
| W 2022-03-19 Heavyweight #3 Alexander Volkov (12-4) Round 1 SUB Straight Armbar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
W 2023-05-13 Heavyweight #14 Jairzinho Rozenstruik (8-5) Round 1 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
|
| W 2021-09-04 Heavyweight #13 Serghei Spivac (7-4) Round 1 KO/TKO Elbow UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till |
W 2023-01-21 Heavyweight #35 Shamil Abdurakhimov (5-6) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill |