D2 · South Atlantic Conference Conference game
Wingate projected to hold off Newberry in South Atlantic tilt
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Wingate#5549%Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Newberry 51%, Wingate 49% at Newberry.
Newberry's win probability against Wingate has swung between 21% and 38% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 38% now.
Newberry's win probability against Wingate has swung between 26% and 44% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 44% now.
Newberry's win probability against Wingate has swung between 31% and 51% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.
Versus projects a tight finish here, with Wingate favored 27-22 over Newberry, good for a 62 percent win probability and a five-point margin. That's about as thin a call as the model makes, and it comes in a South Atlantic Conference game that counts in the standings for both sides.
The divisional ranks tell a split story. Newberry sits at No. 43 in Division II, still 12 spots clear of Wingate at No. 55, and Newberry's own insight package notes that gap: the Wolves rank third in the South Atlantic Conference even after a 21-spot slide from No. 22 that came with a loss to Lenoir-Rhyne and dropped them out of the Versus top 25. Wingate has fallen further, 34 spots from No. 21, yet its power rank of 32 and offensive rank of 39 both sit ahead of Newberry's marks of 39 and 50. Newberry's defense, ranked 29th, and Wingate's, ranked 24th, are the steadier units on either side, and both defenses carry A- grades.
The series has favored Newberry over time, 11-8 across 19 meetings since 2007, and the most recent matchup went the Wolves' way as well, a 43-42 decision last October. Wingate will need its offensive rating, graded A-, to hold up against that history if the home projection is going to play out.
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