Connecticut picked to beat Air Force despite trailing in rank

Versus puts Connecticut on top here even though the Huskies sit 23 spots behind Air Force in the FBS ranking, No. 107 to No. 84. The gap closes once the recent form is factored in. Connecticut has outscored its last five opponents while going 3-2 over that stretch, and its offense carries a higher grade than the Falcons', a C+ against Air Force's C-.

Air Force arrives having won five of its last seven, but both of its losses this season have come against teams with winning records, and its four-game winning streak was snapped last time out in a 14-28 defeat to Wyoming. Its power rank of 98 also sits well behind Connecticut's 80, even with the better overall record.

This is a non-conference game for both sides, so neither Air Force's Mountain West standing nor Connecticut's FBS Independents slate is on the line. Versus projects a 29-26 Connecticut win, giving the Huskies a 57 percent chance, with Air Force at 43. The two met in November 2025, when Connecticut won 26-16.