D3 · Midwest ConferenceConference game
Monmouth IL projected to roll past Illinois College by 22
Monmouth IL#8890%
Illinois College#19110%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Monmouth IL 90%, Illinois College 10% at Illinois College.
Monmouth IL's win probability against Illinois College has swung between 80% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Monmouth IL's win probability against Illinois College has swung between 84% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Monmouth IL's win probability against Illinois College has swung between 88% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 94% now.
Versus projects a 36-14 outcome here, with Monmouth IL given a 90 percent chance to win and a 22-point margin that lines up with how far apart these two Midwest Conference teams sit. Monmouth IL carries the top Versus rating in the conference, a B overall grade built on a B offense and a B- defense, and the Scots have won five straight while piling up lopsided scoring margins over that stretch.
Illinois College enters at 3-4 with a D+ overall grade and ranks 191st among D3 teams compared to Monmouth IL's 88th. The Blue Boys have been erratic, swinging from a 47-point win to a 34-point loss this season, which makes the final score harder to pin down even with the model's confidence. One number works in Illinois College's favor: the Blue Boys have won 14 of their last 17 at home, a trend that cuts against their overall numbers.
The series has leaned heavily toward Monmouth IL as well, with the Scots winning 9 of the last 10 meetings. This game counts in the Midwest Conference standings, and Versus sees it as a lopsided one on paper even before accounting for Illinois College's week-to-week volatility.
Graded within D3, 234 teams
